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Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation

52K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.7%Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.1%Based on 52K games
0%50.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.4% – 51.1%
Outcome Distribution
49.0%3.4%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nc4
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation
Analyzen=52K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 50.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.4% and 51.1%), based on 52K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.0% · Classical best · Bullet worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.3% win rate (178 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.4% win rate (563 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.6% win rate (1,204 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (2,853 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (6,899 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.2% win rate (14,301 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.9% win rate (14,556 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.9% win rate (10,150 games)
  • 2500+: 54.5% win rate (1,435 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (54%), worst in UltraBullet (11%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 11.1% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 45.4% win rate (14,253 games)
  • Blitz: 49.6% win rate (31,812 games)
  • Rapid: 54.1% win rate (5,689 games)
  • Classical: 54.4% win rate (382 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 36.8% expected score (55 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (94 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (112 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (303 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (144 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 39.3% expected score (347 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (512 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (340 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.4% expected score (631 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (1,692 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (507 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (1,483 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (4,318 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (972 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (126 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (2,785 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (9,706 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (1,647 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (163 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (3,573 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (9,392 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (1,533 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 66.3% expected score (57 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (4,159 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (5,486 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (499 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (1,108 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.2% expected score (309 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 68.0% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Latvian Gambit Accepted
48.0%
Variations (5)
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bronstein Attack
49.3%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bronstein Gambit
49.0%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Foltys Variation
50.2%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Foltys-Leonhardt Variation
46.5%
Latvian Gambit Accepted: Leonhardt Variation
54.4%
Analyze Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate?

The Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 52K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation perform best?

The Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.1%) outperforms Bullet (45.4%) by 8.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation?

The Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 43.2%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 178 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 563 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.7%-46.1%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.1%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-55.2%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation has a 54.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-58.5%) win rate for white (382 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

Is the Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation a good opening?

The Latvian Gambit Accepted: Bilguer Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.