TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto

31K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.3%Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 45.8%Based on 31K games
0%45.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.8% – 45.8%
Outcome Distribution
43.2%4.1%52.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...b6
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto
Analyzen=31K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 45.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.8% and 45.8%), based on 31K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~43%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.3% win rate (69 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.6% win rate (325 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.0% win rate (935 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.5% win rate (2,468 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.2% win rate (5,393 games)
  • 1800-1999: 42.3% win rate (8,556 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.2% win rate (7,326 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.9% win rate (5,261 games)
  • 2500+: 41.5% win rate (699 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Classical (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 43.8% win rate (11,348 games)
  • Blitz: 43.4% win rate (16,907 games)
  • Rapid: 40.3% win rate (2,669 games)
  • Classical: 36.4% win rate (107 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 35.9% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 39.1% expected score (205 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (449 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.8% expected score (406 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.2% expected score (79 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (979 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,253 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 40.4% expected score (222 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 19.0% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (1,823 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (2,913 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (623 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.0% expected score (34 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (2,423 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (5,141 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (950 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (42 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (2,440 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (4,264 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (606 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (2,583 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (2,516 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (161 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (412 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (277 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 19.6% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 31K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (2.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (54.6%) outperforms Classical (55.8%) by -1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 56.8% (90% CI: 52.3%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 325 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 55.3% (90% CI: 52.6%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 935 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 55.3% (90% CI: 53.6%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 53.6% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 699 Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.1%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.6%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.0%-56.2%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto has a 55.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-63.5%) win rate for white (107 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Double Fianchetto is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.