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King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense

9.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score48.0%Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 48.9%Based on 9.9K games
0%48.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%4.8%49.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...a6
King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense
Analyzen=9.9K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 48.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 48.9%), based on 9.9K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.4% win rate (27 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.6% win rate (72 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.6% win rate (330 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.2% win rate (1,107 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.2% win rate (2,654 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (3,038 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.5% win rate (2,213 games)
  • 2500+: 41.5% win rate (431 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in Classical (36%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.1% win rate (3,669 games)
  • Blitz: 45.5% win rate (5,677 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (518 games)
  • Classical: 36.0% win rate (11 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 36.5% expected score (28 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (156 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.1% expected score (157 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (403 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (644 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (58 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (701 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (1,784 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (167 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (906 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (1,913 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (216 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,114 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (1,041 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (56 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (329 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (100 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.9% win rate for white (330 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Rapid (48.0%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 56.9% (90% CI: 52.4%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 330 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 51.4% (90% CI: 48.9%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 431 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.3%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.9%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.4%-51.6%) win rate for white (518 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Sämisch Variation, Byrne Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.