45K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 50.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.1% and 50.9%), based on 45K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 69% → 41%
Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (39%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 45K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 48.6% win rate for white (7.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (46.1%) outperforms Classical (40.4%) by 5.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a sharpness score of 93.0 (decisive), meaning 93.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 44.0% (90% CI: 38.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 236 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 42.8% (90% CI: 39.9%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 823 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.5%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 43.7% (90% CI: 42.9%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 10.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.6%-47.1%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.
In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.6%) win rate for white (31K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.
In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 44.2% (90% CI: 42.7%-45.8%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.3%.
In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense has a 40.4% (90% CI: 33.4%-47.6%) win rate for white (126 Lichess games). Draw rate is 20.8%.
The King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation, Glek Defense is statistically balanced with a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.7%-46.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.