2.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit has a 63.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 61.9% and 64.8%), based on 2.9K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 65% → 71%
Best in Bullet (64%), worst in Rapid (44%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | ||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | ||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit has a 61.4% (90% CI: 59.9%-62.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 62.9% win rate for white (1.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (64.2%) outperforms Blitz (56.1%) by 8.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 42.4%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 232 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit has a 62.9% (90% CI: 60.6%-65.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit has a 62.6% (90% CI: 60.5%-64.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit has a 64.2% (90% CI: 62.4%-66.0%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.
In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit has a 56.1% (90% CI: 53.4%-58.8%) win rate for white (937 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.
The King's Indian Defense: Four Pawns Attack, Florentine Gambit is statistically favors white with a 61.4% (90% CI: 59.9%-62.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.