King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line
59K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
49.4%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.7%.
Measured over 59K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 5.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 59K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 59K
- Best context
- 52.3% at 2500+ Blitz
- Worst context
- 47.6% at 2200-2499 Bullet
- Average game length
- 39 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.0%
- Draws
- 5.0%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 49.6% at 0-999, 53.3% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (19 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (37 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 63.0% expected score (37 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (167 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (141 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (51 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (439 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (400 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (89 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 83.3% expected score (6 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,092 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (1,020 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (191 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,833 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (3,723 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (468 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.4% expected score (35 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (5,909 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (9,568 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (820 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (40 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (12,103 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (11,104 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (833 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (5,651 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (1,641 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (61 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line scores 49.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.0% and 49.7% — from 59K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 59K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate?
Playing the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line, White wins 46.9%, draws 5.0% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 59K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line perform best?
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line performs best for White at 1000-1199, with an Expected Score of 62.6% (86 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 50.2% in Blitz (28K games) against 50.7% in Rapid (2.5K games).
How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line?
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 49.5%, draws 3.2% and loses 47.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 363 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 50.8%, draws 2.2% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 937 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 48.1%, draws 3.3% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 2.3K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 47.8%, draws 3.9% and loses 48.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 7.1K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 46.3%, draws 4.6% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.6%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 46.4%, draws 5.5% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 24K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 47.8%, draws 6.0% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 7.4K Lichess games, which average 43 moves.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 46.5%, draws 3.9% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 28K Lichess games.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 47.2%, draws 5.9% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.2%. It rests on 28K Lichess games.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 47.2%, draws 6.9% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games.
What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 48.1%, draws 8.9% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.6%. It rests on 116 Lichess games.
Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line a good opening?
The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Yugoslav Variation, Advance Line is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 46.9% of its games and loses 48.1%. It performs best at 1000-1199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.