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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation

84K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.9%Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.2%Based on 84K games
0%48.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.6% – 49.2%
Outcome Distribution
46.3%5.1%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Bg4
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation
Analyzen=84K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.1%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 48.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.6% and 49.2%), based on 84K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.0% win rate (210 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.5% win rate (818 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (2,268 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.7% win rate (4,768 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.0% win rate (9,294 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (17,985 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.2% win rate (22,395 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (19,666 games)
  • 2500+: 41.8% win rate (6,219 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.9% win rate (17 games)
  • Bullet: 46.7% win rate (40,711 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (38,111 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (4,635 games)
  • Classical: 39.5% win rate (149 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (103 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (86 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (401 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (332 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (80 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,071 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (1,025 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (166 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (2,041 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (2,287 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (420 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (3,880 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4,578 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (790 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (6,733 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (9,978 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,235 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (9,246 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (11,866 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (1,244 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (39 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (11,828 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (7,166 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (661 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (5,408 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (793 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 34.6% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 84K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (6.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.0%) outperforms Classical (50.8%) by -1.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 44.7%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 210 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 46.1%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 818 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.4%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.6%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.6%) win rate for white (4.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 44.1%-57.5%) win rate for white (149 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Simagin Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.