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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation

100K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 50.0%Based on 100K games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 50.0%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%6.4%47.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...a6
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation
Analyzen=100K
Avg Length40 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.4%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 49.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.5% and 50.0%), based on 100K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 35.8% win rate (25 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.1% win rate (116 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.3% win rate (403 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.7% win rate (1,018 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.4% win rate (2,639 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (9,131 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.7% win rate (25,615 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (44,346 games)
  • 2500+: 41.7% win rate (17,078 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (27%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (41,723 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (52,790 games)
  • Rapid: 45.2% win rate (5,629 games)
  • Classical: 45.3% win rate (225 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 33.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (156 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (201 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (362 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (546 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (108 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (777 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (1,518 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (327 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (2,267 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (5,911 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (896 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (57 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (6,081 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (17,536 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (1,889 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (106 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (18,488 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (23,706 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (2,113 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (39 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (13,538 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (3,304 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 34.6% expected score (236 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Continuations (2)
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Donner Line
47.8%
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation, Korchnoi Line
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 100K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (17K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.9%) outperforms Classical (39.1%) by 8.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a sharpness score of 93.6 (decisive), meaning 93.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 40 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 54.0% (90% CI: 46.5%-61.5%) win rate for white, based on 116 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 45.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 403 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.3%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.0%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-46.1%) win rate for white (5.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.8%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation has a 39.1% (90% CI: 33.8%-44.4%) win rate for white (225 Lichess games). Draw rate is 15.7%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Panno Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.