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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense

43K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.9%Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 50.3%Based on 43K games
0%49.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.5% – 50.3%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%6.8%46.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Bf5
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense
Analyzen=43K
Avg Length41 moves
Sharpness93%
Draw Rate6.8%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 49.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.5% and 50.3%), based on 43K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.2% win rate (28 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.0% win rate (117 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.9% win rate (392 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.2% win rate (993 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (2,363 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.3% win rate (4,650 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.2% win rate (9,022 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.2% win rate (16,461 games)
  • 2500+: 44.6% win rate (9,157 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 47.5% win rate (17,160 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (22,964 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (2,874 games)
  • Classical: 37.8% win rate (177 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (126 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (219 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (45 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (263 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (569 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (151 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (550 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (1,416 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (365 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (922 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (2,993 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (676 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (2,140 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (5,965 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (851 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (6,064 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (9,684 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (699 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (7,030 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (2,062 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (63 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 43K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 49.4% win rate for white (2.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (46.8%) outperforms Classical (46.2%) by 0.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a sharpness score of 93.2 (decisive), meaning 93.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 41 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 53.6% (90% CI: 46.0%-61.1%) win rate for white, based on 117 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 0.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 44.5%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 392 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 993 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.8%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.4%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.2%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-48.8%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.3%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 40.1%-52.4%) win rate for white (177 Lichess games). Draw rate is 16.0%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Larsen Defense is statistically balanced with a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.3%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.