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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.0%Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 47.6%Based on 19K games
0%47.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.4% – 47.6%
Outcome Distribution
44.7%4.5%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...a6
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation
Analyzen=19K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 47.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.4% and 47.6%), based on 19K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.5% win rate (31 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.6% win rate (167 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.6% win rate (446 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.8% win rate (1,244 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.0% win rate (2,600 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.5% win rate (4,699 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.8% win rate (4,616 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.8% win rate (3,276 games)
  • 2500+: 45.2% win rate (1,421 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (56%), worst in Rapid (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (7,182 games)
  • Blitz: 44.4% win rate (9,708 games)
  • Rapid: 42.3% win rate (1,549 games)
  • Classical: 46.2% win rate (58 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (88 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (204 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (200 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (491 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (629 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (118 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (828 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (1,477 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (283 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,238 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (2,875 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (562 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (1,457 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (2,771 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (373 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (1,563 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (1,563 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.2% expected score (147 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (1,301 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 39.6% expected score (118 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (3.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.7%) outperforms Classical (47.9%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 46.2%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 167 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 0.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 446 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.4%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.7%) win rate for white (7.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.4%) win rate for white (9.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-54.0%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Hungarian Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.