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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense

142K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.5%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.8%Based on 142K games
0%48.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 48.8%
Outcome Distribution
46.2%4.5%49.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nbd7
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense
Analyzen=142K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 48.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 48.8%), based on 142K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.4% win rate (372 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.0% win rate (1,656 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (4,785 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.4% win rate (12,174 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (24,374 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.0% win rate (37,140 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.6% win rate (35,036 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.0% win rate (21,660 games)
  • 2500+: 41.5% win rate (4,773 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.3% win rate (93 games)
  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (65,411 games)
  • Blitz: 45.5% win rate (63,950 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (11,942 games)
  • Classical: 44.4% win rate (574 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (176 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (170 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (891 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (643 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (118 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (2,216 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (2,126 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (424 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (5,082 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (5,867 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,143 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (9,306 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (12,386 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (2,495 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (155 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (13,055 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (20,098 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (3,764 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (209 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (15,723 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (16,222 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (2,956 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (124 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (14,674 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (5,977 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (993 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (4,288 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.3% expected score (461 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.3% expected score (24 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 142K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.1% win rate for white (4.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.2%) by 0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 45.1% (90% CI: 40.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 372 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.4%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 37K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.5%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white (64K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.4%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 43.6%-50.4%) win rate for white (574 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Debrecen Defense is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.