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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto

169K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.3%Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.5%Based on 169K games
0%49.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.1% – 49.5%
Outcome Distribution
46.2%6.1%47.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...e5
King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto
Analyzen=169K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 49.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.1% and 49.5%), based on 169K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.2% win rate (216 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.5% win rate (926 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (2,509 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (6,835 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.2% win rate (14,100 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.5% win rate (28,262 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (42,992 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.4% win rate (52,516 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (20,680 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.5% win rate (162 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (78,773 games)
  • Blitz: 45.6% win rate (76,889 games)
  • Rapid: 44.2% win rate (12,542 games)
  • Classical: 42.5% win rate (670 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (416 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (392 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,021 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (1,171 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (303 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (2,431 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (3,473 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (870 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4,335 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (7,670 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (1,899 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (158 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (8,035 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (16,500 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (3,409 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (272 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (14,921 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (24,270 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (3,612 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.7% expected score (156 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (29,342 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (20,858 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (2,265 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (18,174 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (2,457 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 169K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.8% win rate for white (21K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.6%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 46.2% (90% CI: 40.7%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 216 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 50.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 926 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 45.6% (90% CI: 39.2%-52.0%) win rate for white (162 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.2%) win rate for white (79K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.8%) win rate for white (77K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.7%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a 46.1% (90% CI: 42.9%-49.3%) win rate for white (670 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.4%.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto is statistically balanced with a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.