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King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto

169K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

49.3%

45%55%
Floor49.1%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 49.5%.

Measured over 169K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 6.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 169K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
169K
Best context
50.8% at 2200-2499 Bullet
Worst context
44.9% at 2500+ Blitz
Average game length
39 moves
Games that end decisively
93.9%
Draws
6.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 55.9% at 0-999, 48.1% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 64.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (416 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (392 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,021 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (1,171 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (303 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 61.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (2,431 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (3,473 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (870 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4,335 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (7,670 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (1,899 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (158 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (46 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (8,035 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (16,500 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (3,409 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (272 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (14,921 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (24,270 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (3,612 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.7% expected score (156 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (29,342 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (20,858 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (2,265 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (18,174 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (2,457 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Indian Defense
48.1%
Variations (5)
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation
48.9%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, Rare Defenses
47.5%
King's Indian Defense: Normal Variation, King's Knight Variation
48.1%
King's Indian Defense: Orthodox Variation
49.9%
King's Indian Defense: Smyslov Variation
48.7%
Analyze King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto scores 49.3% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.1% and 49.5% — from 169K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
169K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate?

Playing the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto, Black wins 46.2%, draws 6.1% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 169K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto perform best?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto performs best for Black at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 50.1% (43K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 49.1% in Blitz (77K games) against 48.1% in Rapid (13K games).

How sharp is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 52.2%, draws 1.6% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 216 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 47.5%, draws 2.3% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 926 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 48.0%, draws 3.0% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 47.1%, draws 4.1% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 6.8K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 46.2%, draws 5.0% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.7%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 46.5%, draws 5.5% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.3%. It rests on 28K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 47.0%, draws 6.2% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 43K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 46.4%, draws 6.6% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 53K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 42.9%, draws 7.3% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 21K Lichess games, which average 44 moves.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 50.5%, draws 4.0% and loses 45.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 162 Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 47.1%, draws 5.0% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.6%. It rests on 79K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 45.6%, draws 6.9% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 77K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 44.2%, draws 7.8% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 13K Lichess games.

What is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 42.5%, draws 11.4% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.2%. It rests on 670 Lichess games.

Is the King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto a good opening?

The King's Indian Defense: Fianchetto Variation, Classical Fianchetto is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 46.2% of its games and loses 47.7%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.