1.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 49.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.9% and 51.3%), based on 1.4K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 43% → 48%
Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Bullet (46%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K rated games from Lichess.
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (227 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (48.3%) outperforms Bullet (45.7%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 47.2% (90% CI: 40.6%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 152 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 227 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 235 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 43.8%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 253 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 43.1% (90% CI: 37.4%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 204 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 42.7% (90% CI: 36.3%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 159 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 41.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (446 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.2%.
In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-51.6%) win rate for white (610 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a 48.8% (90% CI: 43.8%-53.8%) win rate for white (268 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit is slightly favors black with a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-49.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.