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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit

1.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

49.1%

40%55%
Floor46.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.3%.

Measured over 1.4K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for White

Draw 2.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 1.4K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
1.4K
Best context
not measured yet
Average game length
27 moves
Games that end decisively
97.3%
Draws
2.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: −3.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 89.4 · Trap factor: +16.2 · 1.4K games

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 44.8% at 0-999, 50.0% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (44 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (51 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (93 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (90 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (104 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (60 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (59 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (132 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (58 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 35.6% expected score (47 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (104 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 39.1% expected score (58 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (77 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit scores 49.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.9% and 51.3% — from 1.4K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
1.4K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate?

Playing the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit, White wins 47.7%, draws 2.7% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 1.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit performs best for White at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 53.7% (227 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 49.8% in Blitz (610 games) against 51.3% in Rapid (268 games).

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 47.2%, draws 1.6% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.1%. It rests on 152 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 52.3%, draws 2.8% and loses 44.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 227 Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 50.5%, draws 2.3% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 235 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 48.9%, draws 4.1% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 253 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 43.1%, draws 1.7% and loses 55.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.0%. It rests on 204 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 42.7%, draws 4.7% and loses 52.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.1%. It rests on 159 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 45.7%, draws 1.2% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.3%. It rests on 446 Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 48.3%, draws 3.0% and loses 48.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 610 Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 48.8%, draws 5.0% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 268 Lichess games.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Variation, Trencianske-Teplice Gambit is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 47.7% of its games and loses 49.6%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.