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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line

567K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 50.9%Based on 567K games
0%50.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 50.9%
Outcome Distribution
49.6%2.4%48.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Nxf7
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line
Analyzen=567K
Avg Length22 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.4%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 50.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 50.9%), based on 567K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +13.7% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 94.2 · Trap factor: -8.2 · n=567K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.8% win rate (75,199 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.3% win rate (113,428 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.2% win rate (126,368 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.9% win rate (107,079 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.6% win rate (76,050 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.3% win rate (45,907 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (17,803 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.0% win rate (5,165 games)
  • 2500+: 45.0% win rate (346 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (52%), worst in Blitz (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.3% win rate (1,607 games)
  • Bullet: 49.6% win rate (164,380 games)
  • Blitz: 48.9% win rate (239,388 games)
  • Rapid: 50.4% win rate (156,431 games)
  • Classical: 52.2% win rate (5,539 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 43.6% expected score (224 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (20,208 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (27,921 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.5% expected score (26,629 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 71.3% expected score (217 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (444 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (32,425 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (48,057 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (31,688 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (814 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.1% expected score (487 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (33,351 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (54,547 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.8% expected score (36,699 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (1,284 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.9% expected score (377 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (30,459 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (44,123 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (30,419 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (1,701 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.0% expected score (57 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (23,056 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (33,534 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (18,359 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.8% expected score (1,044 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (14,308 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (21,494 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (9,689 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.8% expected score (401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (7,066 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (8,082 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (2,580 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (72 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (3,213 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (1,580 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (366 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (294 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 567K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (75K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (52.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.3%) by 1.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a sharpness score of 97.6 (very decisive), meaning 97.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 22 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.5%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 75K Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 113K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 126K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 107K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 76K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 45.0% (90% CI: 43.9%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 45.0% (90% CI: 40.7%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 346 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.3%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.8%) win rate for white (164K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.0%) win rate for white (239K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white (156K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-53.3%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.