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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line

330K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.4%Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.6%Based on 330K games
0%54.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.6%
Outcome Distribution
53.1%2.5%44.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bxf7+
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line
Analyzen=330K
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.5%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 54.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.3% and 54.6%), based on 330K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.3% · Breakpoint: 2000-2199

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 55% → 52%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.3% win rate (9,984 games)
  • 1000-1199: 56.7% win rate (26,981 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.1% win rate (49,880 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.8% win rate (63,795 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.6% win rate (66,969 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (60,470 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.6% win rate (35,456 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.9% win rate (14,937 games)
  • 2500+: 51.5% win rate (1,526 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (57%), worst in Bullet (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.0% win rate (644 games)
  • Bullet: 52.6% win rate (106,179 games)
  • Blitz: 52.9% win rate (162,153 games)
  • Rapid: 54.6% win rate (59,161 games)
  • Classical: 56.5% win rate (1,861 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (4,555 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (3,525 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (1,851 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (143 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (11,054 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (11,657 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (4,063 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.4% expected score (313 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (16,495 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (23,521 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (9,384 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 60.7% expected score (167 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.1% expected score (129 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (19,581 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (30,205 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (13,384 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.4% expected score (496 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (18,997 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (34,021 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (13,331 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (599 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (16,005 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (32,499 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (11,558 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (11,093 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (19,565 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (4,692 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.6% expected score (104 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (7,174 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (6,869 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.2% expected score (889 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (1,225 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 64.6% expected score (291 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 330K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 56.7% win rate for white (27K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (56.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (54.0%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 55.3% (90% CI: 54.4%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 56.7% (90% CI: 56.2%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.5%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 54.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-57.2%) win rate for white (644 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.3%-52.8%) win rate for white (106K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.1%) win rate for white (162K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 54.6% (90% CI: 54.3%-54.9%) win rate for white (59K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line has a 56.5% (90% CI: 54.6%-58.3%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line is statistically favors white with a 53.1% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.