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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack

115K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.3%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.5%Based on 115K games
0%50.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.5%
Outcome Distribution
48.7%3.0%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Bc5
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack
Analyzen=115K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 50.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.5%), based on 115K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +5.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.5% win rate (8,247 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.5% win rate (16,265 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (21,999 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.0% win rate (21,794 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.4% win rate (19,220 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.9% win rate (15,822 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (8,348 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.9% win rate (3,029 games)
  • 2500+: 46.5% win rate (247 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (49%), worst in UltraBullet (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.4% win rate (198 games)
  • Bullet: 48.8% win rate (35,709 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (52,636 games)
  • Rapid: 47.8% win rate (25,695 games)
  • Classical: 46.2% win rate (733 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (2,685 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (3,094 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (2,426 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (5,136 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (7,268 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (3,739 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (68 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 37.4% expected score (66 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (6,097 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (9,641 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.5% expected score (6,068 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.7% expected score (127 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (51 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (6,248 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (9,571 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (5,693 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.0% expected score (231 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (5,895 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (9,158 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (3,967 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (191 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (4,664 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (8,425 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (2,664 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (69 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (2,948 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (4,415 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (962 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (1,802 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (1,051 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (176 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (234 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (13 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Continuations (3)
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Knight Sacrifice Line
49.6%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, Bishop Sacrifice Line
53.1%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack, King March Line
43.1%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 115K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (16K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.2%) outperforms Blitz (47.5%) by 1.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 46.3% (90% CI: 44.8%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 43.7%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 247 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 53.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-59.7%) win rate for white (198 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (36K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.8%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.9%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-53.2%) win rate for white (733 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Traxler Counterattack is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.