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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening

5.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 52.7%Based on 5.5M games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 52.7%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%4.0%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Be7
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
Analyzen=5.5M
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 52.7%), based on 5.5M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~51%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.0% win rate (387,828 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.7% win rate (753,922 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.4% win rate (1,048,735 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (1,135,169 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.2% win rate (970,335 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.6% win rate (675,694 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (353,042 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.0% win rate (172,206 games)
  • 2500+: 49.8% win rate (35,353 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.6% win rate (2,184 games)
  • Bullet: 50.0% win rate (1,287,109 games)
  • Blitz: 50.6% win rate (2,909,242 games)
  • Rapid: 51.3% win rate (1,285,406 games)
  • Classical: 52.6% win rate (48,343 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.2% expected score (291 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (98,588 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (191,935 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (96,324 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (690 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (523 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (177,947 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (392,961 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (179,398 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (3,093 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (632 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (226,078 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (541,895 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (271,588 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (8,542 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (513 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (237,356 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (583,248 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (299,164 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (14,888 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.1% expected score (141 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (206,791 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (515,685 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (234,426 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (13,292 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (57 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (153,796 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (377,357 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (138,297 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.5% expected score (6,187 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (100,717 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (198,795 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (52,127 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (1,384 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (64,665 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (93,847 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (13,439 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (247 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (21,171 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (13,519 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (643 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 52.3% expected score (20 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.5M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 51.7% win rate for white (754K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (52.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (51.6%) by 1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 388K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.6%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 754K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.0M Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.1M Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 970K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 676K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 353K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 172K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.3%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 50.0% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.1%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.6%) win rate for white (2.9M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.3%) win rate for white (1.3M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.9%) win rate for white (48K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening is statistically favors white with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.6%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.