252 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Max Lange Attack, Berger Variation has a 46.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 41.0% and 51.2%), based on 252 Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 60% → 51%
Best in Blitz (45%), worst in Classical (20%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | ||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Max Lange Attack, Berger Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 38.9%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 252 rated games from Lichess.
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Max Lange Attack, Berger Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 44.8% win rate for white (118 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (45.0%) outperforms Bullet (43.6%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Max Lange Attack, Berger Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Max Lange Attack, Berger Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 37.4%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 118 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.1% draw rate.
In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Max Lange Attack, Berger Variation has a 45.0% (90% CI: 38.6%-51.4%) win rate for white (162 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Max Lange Attack, Berger Variation is slightly favors black with a 44.0% (90% CI: 38.9%-49.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.