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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation

819K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score57.1%Range (90% confident): 57.1% – 57.2%Based on 819K games
0%57.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.1% – 57.2%
Outcome Distribution
55.8%2.6%41.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Nd4
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation
Analyzen=819K
Avg Length27 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 57.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 57.1% and 57.2%), based on 819K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +22.6% · Breakpoint: 2500+

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 58% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 58.3% win rate (40,212 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.9% win rate (102,757 games)
  • 1200-1399: 59.8% win rate (157,425 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.9% win rate (177,581 games)
  • 1600-1799: 53.7% win rate (152,379 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.1% win rate (111,659 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.2% win rate (56,697 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.0% win rate (18,552 games)
  • 2500+: 41.0% win rate (1,911 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (57%), worst in UltraBullet (54%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.0% win rate (270 games)
  • Bullet: 55.7% win rate (203,272 games)
  • Blitz: 55.2% win rate (408,466 games)
  • Rapid: 57.2% win rate (200,189 games)
  • Classical: 56.5% win rate (6,976 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 75.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (12,178 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.1% expected score (18,635 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (9,339 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (52 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.1% expected score (27,696 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 62.5% expected score (50,706 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 63.1% expected score (24,015 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 55.6% expected score (288 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 63.3% expected score (85 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (34,423 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (79,859 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 63.2% expected score (42,187 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.8% expected score (871 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.8% expected score (67 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (39,098 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (86,886 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (49,472 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 62.5% expected score (2,058 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 36.2% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (34,759 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (76,165 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (39,154 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (2,270 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (26,455 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (58,186 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (25,794 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (1,212 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (17,753 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (29,945 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (8,789 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (208 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (9,442 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (7,659 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (1,421 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (1,468 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 36.7% expected score (425 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.3% expected score (18 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 41.6% (90% CI: 41.5%-41.6%) win rate for white, based on 819K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (1.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (42.7%) outperforms Classical (39.8%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 27 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 39.4% (90% CI: 39.0%-39.8%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 37.1% (90% CI: 36.8%-37.3%) win rate for white, based on 103K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 38.2% (90% CI: 38.0%-38.4%) win rate for white, based on 157K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 40.8% (90% CI: 40.6%-41.0%) win rate for white, based on 178K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 43.3%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 152K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.2%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 112K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.2%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 40.9%-50.8%) win rate for white (270 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 42.7% (90% CI: 42.5%-42.8%) win rate for white (203K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 41.8%-42.0%) win rate for white (408K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 39.8% (90% CI: 39.6%-39.9%) win rate for white (200K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation has a 39.8% (90% CI: 38.9%-40.8%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fritz Variation is slightly favors black with a 41.6% (90% CI: 41.5%-41.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.