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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack

1.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score68.6%Range (90% confident): 68.6% – 68.7%Based on 1.4M games
0%68.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 68.6% – 68.7%
Outcome Distribution
67.3%2.6%30.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Nxf7
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack
Analyzen=1.4M
Avg Length25 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 68.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 68.6% and 68.7%), based on 1.4M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +43.3% · Breakpoint: Never

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 96.0 · Trap factor: +31.6 · n=1.4M

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 70.9% win rate (98,678 games)
  • 1000-1199: 70.2% win rate (279,541 games)
  • 1200-1399: 68.5% win rate (367,746 games)
  • 1400-1599: 66.5% win rate (325,475 games)
  • 1600-1799: 64.7% win rate (206,521 games)
  • 1800-1999: 62.1% win rate (90,510 games)
  • 2000-2199: 57.7% win rate (24,978 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.7% win rate (5,323 games)
  • 2500+: 57.2% win rate (562 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (71%), worst in Bullet (65%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 70.3% win rate (419 games)
  • Bullet: 65.0% win rate (275,813 games)
  • Blitz: 66.9% win rate (685,458 games)
  • Rapid: 69.3% win rate (420,747 games)
  • Classical: 71.0% win rate (16,897 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 71.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.7% expected score (28,601 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 71.7% expected score (51,471 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 72.8% expected score (18,491 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 75.4% expected score (89 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 74.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (58,741 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 71.0% expected score (145,969 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 73.3% expected score (74,099 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 73.8% expected score (652 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 68.8% expected score (161 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 67.2% expected score (63,485 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 69.1% expected score (181,031 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 72.0% expected score (120,207 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 73.4% expected score (2,862 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.7% expected score (105 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 64.4% expected score (56,980 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 67.5% expected score (152,030 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 69.8% expected score (109,560 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 72.8% expected score (6,800 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 71.3% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 62.6% expected score (36,310 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 65.7% expected score (99,173 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 68.5% expected score (66,097 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 71.9% expected score (4,912 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (19,675 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 63.6% expected score (42,837 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (26,545 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (1,441 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (8,816 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (10,819 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 64.5% expected score (5,211 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.4% expected score (128 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (2,724 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (2,058 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (526 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (481 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.6% expected score (70 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 67.3% (90% CI: 67.2%-67.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 70.9% win rate for white (99K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (71.0%) outperforms Bullet (65.0%) by 6.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 25 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 70.9% (90% CI: 70.7%-71.2%) win rate for white, based on 99K Lichess games. Average game length is 19 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 70.2% (90% CI: 70.1%-70.4%) win rate for white, based on 280K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 68.5% (90% CI: 68.3%-68.6%) win rate for white, based on 368K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 66.5% (90% CI: 66.4%-66.6%) win rate for white, based on 325K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 64.7% (90% CI: 64.5%-64.8%) win rate for white, based on 207K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 62.1% (90% CI: 61.8%-62.4%) win rate for white, based on 91K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 57.7% (90% CI: 57.2%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.6%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 57.2% (90% CI: 53.8%-60.6%) win rate for white, based on 562 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 70.3% (90% CI: 66.6%-73.9%) win rate for white (419 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 65.0% (90% CI: 64.9%-65.2%) win rate for white (276K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 66.9% (90% CI: 66.8%-67.0%) win rate for white (685K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 69.3% (90% CI: 69.2%-69.4%) win rate for white (421K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack has a 71.0% (90% CI: 70.4%-71.5%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Fried Liver Attack is statistically favors white with a 67.3% (90% CI: 67.2%-67.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.