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Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.4%Based on 33K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 51.4%
Outcome Distribution
49.3%3.4%47.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Rb8
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation
Analyzen=33K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 51.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 51.4%), based on 33K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.4% win rate (93 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.2% win rate (472 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.9% win rate (1,199 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.4% win rate (2,485 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.9% win rate (4,991 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.5% win rate (9,340 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.7% win rate (9,409 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.1% win rate (4,843 games)
  • 2500+: 36.9% win rate (564 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Blitz (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (11,827 games)
  • Blitz: 47.7% win rate (17,358 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (4,009 games)
  • Classical: 52.4% win rate (200 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (257 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (139 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (539 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (438 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (222 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (892 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (1,191 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (381 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (1,653 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.5% expected score (2,506 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (773 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (59 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (2,616 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (5,484 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (1,155 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.1% expected score (84 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (2,898 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (5,505 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (979 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (2,496 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (1,961 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (381 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.2% expected score (435 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.8% expected score (105 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 48.9% win rate for white (9.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.8%) outperforms Classical (41.9%) by 6.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 43.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 472 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.2%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.1%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-46.9%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 44.6%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 564 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 15.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.0%-46.5%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.5%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-47.0%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 36.3%-47.7%) win rate for white (200 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Colman Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.