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Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense

206K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score41.0%Range (90% confident): 40.8% – 41.2%Based on 206K games
0%41.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 40.8% – 41.2%
Outcome Distribution
39.7%2.5%57.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Ng4
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense
Analyzen=206K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.5%

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 41.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 40.8% and 41.2%), based on 206K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~41%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.1% win rate (2,132 games)
  • 1000-1199: 40.4% win rate (8,767 games)
  • 1200-1399: 40.7% win rate (24,910 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.4% win rate (46,047 games)
  • 1600-1799: 39.6% win rate (61,656 games)
  • 1800-1999: 38.8% win rate (44,647 games)
  • 2000-2199: 38.8% win rate (14,362 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.6% win rate (3,058 games)
  • 2500+: 42.7% win rate (241 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (40%), worst in Classical (35%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.4% win rate (22 games)
  • Bullet: 39.3% win rate (59,093 games)
  • Blitz: 40.1% win rate (105,778 games)
  • Rapid: 39.5% win rate (39,218 games)
  • Classical: 35.3% win rate (1,709 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (1,096 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 39.9% expected score (634 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (395 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 40.0% expected score (4,053 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (3,413 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (1,279 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 39.7% expected score (8,908 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (11,953 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (3,943 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 37.3% expected score (97 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 40.4% expected score (12,185 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (25,112 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (8,322 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 33.6% expected score (422 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.9% expected score (14,663 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (33,734 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 40.8% expected score (12,576 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.0% expected score (681 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 40.1% expected score (10,636 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (23,703 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.7% expected score (9,901 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (406 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (5,351 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.1% expected score (6,337 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 37.7% expected score (2,599 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 33.0% expected score (75 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.6% expected score (1,979 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (875 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (201 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (222 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 31.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 57.8% (90% CI: 57.6%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 206K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense perform best?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 58.2% win rate for white (45K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (61.1%) outperforms Blitz (57.3%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 57.3% (90% CI: 55.6%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.1%-58.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 57.4% (90% CI: 56.9%-57.9%) win rate for white, based on 25K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 57.4% (90% CI: 57.1%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.7%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 58.2% (90% CI: 57.8%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 57.9% (90% CI: 57.2%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.3%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 50.1% (90% CI: 44.8%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 241 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 58.9% (90% CI: 58.6%-59.2%) win rate for white (59K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 57.3% (90% CI: 57.0%-57.5%) win rate for white (106K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 57.5% (90% CI: 57.0%-57.9%) win rate for white (39K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense has a 61.1% (90% CI: 59.2%-63.1%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense a good opening?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Spielmann Defense is statistically favors white with a 57.8% (90% CI: 57.6%-58.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.