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Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation

10.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.4%Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 53.3%Based on 10.0K games
0%52.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 53.3%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%4.4%45.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
11.Nce4
Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation
Analyzen=10.0K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 52.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 53.3%), based on 10.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +8.1% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 66% → 56%

1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1200-1399: 65.5% win rate (13 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.4% win rate (38 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (273 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.4% win rate (1,824 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (4,325 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.0% win rate (3,076 games)
  • 2500+: 55.8% win rate (437 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (32%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.1% win rate (2,912 games)
  • Blitz: 49.3% win rate (6,284 games)
  • Rapid: 51.3% win rate (746 games)
  • Classical: 31.9% win rate (44 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (90 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (139 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (375 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (1,290 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (144 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (732 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (3,215 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (358 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (1,341 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (1,550 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (179 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (362 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.6% expected score (74 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 10.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 55.8% win rate for white (437 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.1%) outperforms Blitz (49.3%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 44.8%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 273 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.4%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 55.8% (90% CI: 51.8%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 437 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.6%-53.6%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.3%) win rate for white (6.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-54.3%) win rate for white (746 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Scotch Gambit, Max Lange Attack, Long Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.