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Analyzer

Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit

368K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.9%Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 52.0%Based on 368K games
0%51.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.8% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.3%3.2%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.d4
Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit
Analyzen=368K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.8% and 52.0%), based on 368K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.0% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~54%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.7% win rate (20,603 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.2% win rate (34,081 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.8% win rate (53,395 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (70,209 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (75,375 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.5% win rate (67,043 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.2% win rate (34,649 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.2% win rate (11,344 games)
  • 2500+: 53.4% win rate (1,351 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Rapid (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.9% win rate (892 games)
  • Bullet: 52.3% win rate (113,335 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (170,920 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (80,059 games)
  • Classical: 49.4% win rate (2,844 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.5% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (5,350 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (9,057 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (6,107 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (164 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (10,233 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (15,367 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (8,100 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 59.2% expected score (217 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.2% expected score (369 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (15,603 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (24,297 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (12,697 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.2% expected score (429 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (182 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (20,540 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (32,411 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (16,379 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (697 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (100 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (20,495 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (37,262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (16,676 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (842 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (18,919 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (33,614 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (13,964 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (518 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (13,951 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (15,389 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (5,225 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (80 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (7,122 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (3,318 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (887 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (1,122 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (205 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (24 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate?

The Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 368K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 54.2% win rate for white (34K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.3%) outperforms Classical (49.4%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit?

The Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 70K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 75K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 67K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 53.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-56.6%) win rate for white (892 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.5%) win rate for white (113K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.1%) win rate for white (171K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.6%) win rate for white (80K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.9%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

Is the Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Rosentreter Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.