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Analyzer

Italian Game: Hungarian Defense

1.8M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 49.9%Based on 1.8M games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.7% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
47.5%4.5%47.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Be7
Italian Game: Hungarian Defense
Analyzen=1.8M
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 49.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.7% and 49.9%), based on 1.8M Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (33,684 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.6% win rate (96,254 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.0% win rate (203,868 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.6% win rate (343,620 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (462,123 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.8% win rate (420,532 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.4% win rate (197,324 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.3% win rate (53,564 games)
  • 2500+: 36.5% win rate (3,194 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.5% win rate (676 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (323,017 games)
  • Blitz: 47.3% win rate (1,049,545 games)
  • Rapid: 47.3% win rate (424,935 games)
  • Classical: 47.2% win rate (15,990 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (51 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (10,506 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (15,419 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (7,650 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.1% expected score (100 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (26,693 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (48,309 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (20,811 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (341 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (233 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (45,719 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (108,779 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (47,835 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (1,302 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (232 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (58,767 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (195,270 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (85,536 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (3,815 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (68,556 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (273,266 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (114,310 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (5,941 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (55,398 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (257,373 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (103,924 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (3,829 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (37,774 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (120,077 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (38,821 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.1% expected score (650 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (17,757 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (29,868 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (5,885 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.2% expected score (54 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (1,847 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.0% expected score (1,184 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.9% expected score (163 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Continuations (1)
Italian Game: Hungarian Defense, Tartakower Variation
48.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Hungarian Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate?

The Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense perform best?

The Italian Game: Hungarian Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (3.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.7%) outperforms Classical (46.3%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense?

The Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 96K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 204K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 344K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 462K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 421K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 197K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 44 moves with a 10.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 50.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-53.4%) win rate for white (676 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.8%) win rate for white (323K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.1%) win rate for white (1.0M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.4%) win rate for white (425K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.9%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.6%.

Is the Italian Game: Hungarian Defense a good opening?

The Italian Game: Hungarian Defense is statistically balanced with a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.