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Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation

2.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.6%Range (90% confident): 55.0% – 58.2%Based on 2.5K games
0%56.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.0% – 58.2%
Outcome Distribution
54.2%4.8%41.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Ba3
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation
Analyzen=2.5K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 56.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.0% and 58.2%), based on 2.5K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 41% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • 1000-1199: 25.9% win rate (12 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.3% win rate (36 games)
  • 1400-1599: 36.3% win rate (66 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (152 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.7% win rate (456 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.5% win rate (870 games)
  • 2200-2499: 60.2% win rate (823 games)
  • 2500+: 55.7% win rate (82 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (55%), worst in Classical (31%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 52.7% win rate (345 games)
  • Blitz: 55.2% win rate (1,835 games)
  • Rapid: 50.4% win rate (311 games)
  • Classical: 31.0% win rate (13 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 20.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (37 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (79 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (65 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (334 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (52 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (108 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (604 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (157 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 62.8% expected score (73 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (713 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (48 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.5%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 60.2% win rate for white (823 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (55.2%) outperforms Rapid (50.4%) by 4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 152 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 49.8%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 456 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 870 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 60.2% (90% CI: 57.4%-63.0%) win rate for white, based on 823 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-57.1%) win rate for white (345 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 53.3%-57.1%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 45.8%-55.0%) win rate for white (311 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Steinitz Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.2% (90% CI: 52.5%-55.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.