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Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation

11K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score74.1%Range (90% confident): 73.4% – 74.7%Based on 11K games
0%74.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 73.4% – 74.7%
Outcome Distribution
72.7%2.7%24.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.f4
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation
Analyzen=11K
Avg Length26 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 74.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 73.4% and 74.7%), based on 11K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 71% → 78%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 78.9% win rate (27 games)
  • 1200-1399: 74.2% win rate (45 games)
  • 1400-1599: 70.1% win rate (253 games)
  • 1600-1799: 70.4% win rate (1,155 games)
  • 1800-1999: 71.5% win rate (3,417 games)
  • 2000-2199: 73.0% win rate (4,286 games)
  • 2200-2499: 74.5% win rate (1,923 games)
  • 2500+: 77.9% win rate (207 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (79%), worst in Rapid (71%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 71.5% win rate (2,692 games)
  • Blitz: 73.4% win rate (6,808 games)
  • Rapid: 71.2% win rate (1,718 games)
  • Classical: 78.7% win rate (97 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 92.9% expected score (9 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 75.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 90.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 68.7% expected score (103 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 68.3% expected score (100 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 78.2% expected score (50 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 67.8% expected score (268 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 73.6% expected score (725 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 69.7% expected score (151 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 73.4% expected score (570 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 72.7% expected score (2,275 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 70.8% expected score (531 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 90.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 74.2% expected score (693 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 75.2% expected score (2,786 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 72.5% expected score (765 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 74.2% expected score (42 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 71.5% expected score (877 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 80.1% expected score (850 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 78.3% expected score (193 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 79.2% expected score (158 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 79.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 72.7% (90% CI: 72.0%-73.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 77.9% win rate for white (207 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (73.4%) outperforms Rapid (71.2%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 70.1% (90% CI: 65.3%-74.8%) win rate for white, based on 253 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 70.4% (90% CI: 68.2%-72.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 71.5% (90% CI: 70.3%-72.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 73.0% (90% CI: 71.9%-74.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 74.5% (90% CI: 72.8%-76.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 77.9% (90% CI: 73.1%-82.5%) win rate for white, based on 207 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 71.5% (90% CI: 70.1%-72.9%) win rate for white (2.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 73.4% (90% CI: 72.5%-74.2%) win rate for white (6.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation has a 71.2% (90% CI: 69.3%-72.9%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Rosentreter Variation is statistically favors white with a 72.7% (90% CI: 72.0%-73.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.