TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack

466K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score52.7%Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 52.8%Based on 466K games
0%52.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.6% – 52.8%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%3.7%45.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Nc3
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack
Analyzen=466K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 52.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.6% and 52.8%), based on 466K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.4 · Trap factor: +7.4 · n=466K

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.3% win rate (14,076 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (41,071 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (78,695 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.8% win rate (111,660 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.7% win rate (110,547 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.8% win rate (72,270 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.8% win rate (28,421 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.4% win rate (8,445 games)
  • 2500+: 56.5% win rate (777 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 45.9% win rate (89 games)
  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (113,588 games)
  • Blitz: 51.0% win rate (229,006 games)
  • Rapid: 50.0% win rate (118,076 games)
  • Classical: 49.8% win rate (5,203 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (3,828 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (6,123 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (4,094 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.8% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (11,197 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (18,410 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (11,263 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.5% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (18,596 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (38,584 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (20,832 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (654 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (24,406 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (56,269 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (29,550 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (1,409 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (22,770 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (56,812 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (29,088 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (1,873 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (17,016 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (36,209 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (18,131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (913 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (10,415 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (13,356 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (4,512 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (136 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (4,732 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (3,100 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (600 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 67.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (628 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 63.2% expected score (143 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 83.3% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 466K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.5% win rate for white (777 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (45.9%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 112K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 111K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 52.5%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 56.5% (90% CI: 53.5%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 777 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.2%-51.7%) win rate for white (114K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.2%) win rate for white (229K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white (118K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.0%) win rate for white (5.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Greco's Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.