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Analyzer

Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation

9.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score52.6%Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 53.4%Based on 9.7K games
0%52.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 53.4%
Outcome Distribution
50.9%3.4%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Kf1
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation
Analyzen=9.7K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 52.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 53.4%), based on 9.7K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 64%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.4% win rate (140 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.8% win rate (230 games)
  • 1200-1399: 44.8% win rate (475 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (1,031 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (1,377 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (2,107 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.6% win rate (1,821 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.2% win rate (2,071 games)
  • 2500+: 63.8% win rate (460 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 52.9% win rate (2,824 games)
  • Blitz: 51.1% win rate (5,515 games)
  • Rapid: 45.7% win rate (1,286 games)
  • Classical: 48.0% win rate (85 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 40.3% expected score (50 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.0% expected score (59 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (72 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (83 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (74 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (151 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (214 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (428 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (382 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (192 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (265 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (848 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (243 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (462 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (1,318 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (315 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (533 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (1,054 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (220 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (584 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (1,414 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.0% expected score (300 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.6% expected score (152 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 63.8% win rate for white (460 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.9%) outperforms Classical (48.0%) by 4.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 36.4% (90% CI: 29.9%-43.1%) win rate for white, based on 140 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 43.8% (90% CI: 38.5%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 230 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 44.8% (90% CI: 41.1%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 475 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.0%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.4%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 63.8% (90% CI: 60.1%-67.5%) win rate for white, based on 460 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.4%-54.5%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.2%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.4%-48.0%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Piano, Cracow Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.