242K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 54.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.0% and 54.3%), based on 242K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 53% → 50%
Similar across time controls (~53%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 242K rated games from Lichess.
The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (33K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (52.9%) outperforms Classical (51.4%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 51.5%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.8%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.7%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 132 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.1%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.
In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.1%) win rate for white (133K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.
In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.6%-53.2%) win rate for white (62K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
In Classical games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.9%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Lucchini Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.