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Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score27.5%Range (90% confident): 27.1% – 27.8%Based on 39K games
0%27.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 27.1% – 27.8%
Outcome Distribution
26.7%1.5%71.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...f4
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length20 moves
Sharpness99%
Draw Rate1.5%

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 27.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 27.1% and 27.8%), based on 39K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 28% → 23%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 27.5% win rate (935 games)
  • 1000-1199: 26.3% win rate (3,387 games)
  • 1200-1399: 26.5% win rate (7,207 games)
  • 1400-1599: 26.1% win rate (10,436 games)
  • 1600-1799: 26.7% win rate (9,617 games)
  • 1800-1999: 27.0% win rate (5,525 games)
  • 2000-2199: 29.3% win rate (1,962 games)
  • 2200-2499: 30.3% win rate (300 games)
  • 2500+: 23.1% win rate (5 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (27%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 25.5% win rate (4,635 games)
  • Blitz: 26.6% win rate (20,213 games)
  • Rapid: 27.1% win rate (13,658 games)
  • Classical: 27.0% win rate (867 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 28.7% expected score (440 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 28.9% expected score (424 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 17.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 24.6% expected score (851 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 28.2% expected score (2,047 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 25.5% expected score (488 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 25.5% expected score (1,070 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 27.2% expected score (4,443 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 28.8% expected score (1,662 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 20.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 25.6% expected score (895 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 26.9% expected score (5,655 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 27.4% expected score (3,689 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.9% expected score (197 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (665 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 26.9% expected score (4,337 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 28.1% expected score (4,239 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 27.6% expected score (376 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 26.4% expected score (430 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 28.0% expected score (2,310 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 27.7% expected score (2,577 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 28.6% expected score (208 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 27.8% expected score (199 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 30.1% expected score (863 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 30.4% expected score (849 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 28.1% expected score (83 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 33.3% expected score (133 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.9% expected score (81 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 26.7% (90% CI: 26.3%-27.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 29.3% win rate for white (2.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (27.1%) outperforms Bullet (25.5%) by 1.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a sharpness score of 98.5 (very decisive), meaning 98.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 20 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 27.5% (90% CI: 25.1%-29.9%) win rate for white, based on 935 Lichess games. Average game length is 16 moves with a 0.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 26.3% (90% CI: 25.1%-27.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 18 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 26.5% (90% CI: 25.7%-27.4%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 19 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 26.1% (90% CI: 25.4%-26.9%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 26.7% (90% CI: 25.9%-27.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 27.0% (90% CI: 26.0%-27.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 29.3% (90% CI: 27.6%-31.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 30.3% (90% CI: 26.1%-34.8%) win rate for white, based on 300 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 25.5% (90% CI: 24.5%-26.6%) win rate for white (4.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 26.6% (90% CI: 26.1%-27.1%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 27.1% (90% CI: 26.5%-27.7%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation has a 27.0% (90% CI: 24.6%-29.5%) win rate for white (867 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Dubois Variation is slightly favors black with a 26.7% (90% CI: 26.3%-27.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.