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Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation

905K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.4%Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.5%Based on 905K games
0%53.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.3% – 53.5%
Outcome Distribution
51.5%3.7%44.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.Bg5
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation
Analyzen=905K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 53.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.3% and 53.5%), based on 905K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~50%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.3% win rate (81,995 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.7% win rate (105,104 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.7% win rate (148,390 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.9% win rate (176,906 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.0% win rate (170,154 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.9% win rate (132,287 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (63,492 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.3% win rate (23,744 games)
  • 2500+: 51.9% win rate (3,193 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.3% win rate (560 games)
  • Bullet: 52.3% win rate (284,060 games)
  • Blitz: 51.2% win rate (414,242 games)
  • Rapid: 51.0% win rate (199,052 games)
  • Classical: 50.0% win rate (7,351 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.4% expected score (101 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (15,429 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (25,343 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (40,705 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (417 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (178 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (29,591 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (39,449 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (34,783 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (1,103 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.2% expected score (152 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (43,317 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (68,235 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (35,236 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (1,450 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (51,517 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (86,946 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (36,242 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (2,102 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (52,381 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (87,874 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (28,484 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.1% expected score (1,400 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (44,961 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (69,478 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (17,096 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (743 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (29,044 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (28,994 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (5,329 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (120 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (15,028 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (7,533 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (1,166 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (2,792 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (390 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 905K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (148K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (52.3%) by 0.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 82K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 105K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 148K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 177K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 170K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 132K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-55.7%) win rate for white (560 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.5%) win rate for white (284K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white (414K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.2%) win rate for white (199K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.0%-51.0%) win rate for white (7.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Canal Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.