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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack

18K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.5%Range (90% confident): 55.9% – 57.1%Based on 18K games
0%56.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.9% – 57.1%
Outcome Distribution
55.2%2.5%42.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
8.Qb3
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack
Analyzen=18K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.5%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 56.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.9% and 57.1%), based on 18K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +12.8% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 57%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.8% win rate (10 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.1% win rate (88 games)
  • 1200-1399: 55.7% win rate (351 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.1% win rate (1,579 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.9% win rate (3,492 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.1% win rate (6,402 games)
  • 2000-2199: 56.1% win rate (4,671 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.6% win rate (1,536 games)
  • 2500+: 57.1% win rate (80 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~56%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.9% win rate (5,697 games)
  • Blitz: 55.8% win rate (10,322 games)
  • Rapid: 56.0% win rate (2,111 games)
  • Classical: 55.3% win rate (79 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (61 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (207 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (131 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (707 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (775 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (95 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (1,068 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (2,082 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.9% expected score (328 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (1,640 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (3,943 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (773 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (1,223 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (2,713 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (718 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 66.3% expected score (17 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (719 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (642 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.1% expected score (175 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (66 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.6%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 18K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 56.1% win rate for white (4.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (55.8%) outperforms Classical (55.3%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 55.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 351 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 55.1% (90% CI: 53.1%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.5%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.1%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.0%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 53.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-55.0%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.0%-56.6%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack has a 56.0% (90% CI: 54.2%-57.8%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Waller Attack is statistically favors white with a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.6%-55.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.