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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation

60K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.3%Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.7%Based on 60K games
0%51.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.0% – 51.7%
Outcome Distribution
49.7%3.1%47.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bd6
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation
Analyzen=60K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 51.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.0% and 51.7%), based on 60K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +4.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.6% win rate (481 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (1,564 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.9% win rate (3,696 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.8% win rate (7,042 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (11,384 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (15,839 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.2% win rate (13,674 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.8% win rate (5,340 games)
  • 2500+: 51.0% win rate (700 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in UltraBullet (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • Bullet: 50.1% win rate (14,713 games)
  • Blitz: 49.9% win rate (35,489 games)
  • Rapid: 48.8% win rate (9,154 games)
  • Classical: 47.4% win rate (356 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (176 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (201 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (103 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (599 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (675 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (283 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,267 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (1,766 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (642 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (1,804 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (3,956 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (1,220 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (2,251 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (7,079 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (1,973 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (81 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (2,872 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (10,285 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (2,556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.4% expected score (126 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (2,884 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (8,874 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (1,864 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (52 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (2,304 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (2,521 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (502 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 29.3% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (556 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (132 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 60K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 51.8% win rate for white (7.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.1%) outperforms Classical (47.4%) by 2.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 43.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 481 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 47.9%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 700 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.8%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.3%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.7%) win rate for white (9.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 43.1%-51.8%) win rate for white (356 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Stone-Ware Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.