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Analyzer

Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation

150 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score43.1%Range (90% confident): 36.6% – 49.8%Based on 150 games
0%43.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 36.6% – 49.8%
Outcome Distribution
41.3%3.6%55.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Bg5
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation
Analyzen=150
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation has a 43.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 36.6% and 49.8%), based on 150 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 14% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.7% win rate (13 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.8% win rate (20 games)
  • 1800-1999: 36.5% win rate (41 games)
  • 2000-2199: 29.4% win rate (24 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.7% win rate (44 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in Rapid (38%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.8% win rate (51 games)
  • Blitz: 38.9% win rate (77 games)
  • Rapid: 37.8% win rate (21 games)
  • Classical: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 25.9% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 39.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 27.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation has a 41.3% (90% CI: 34.8%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 150 rated games from Lichess.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.8%) outperforms Blitz (38.9%) by 5.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Sokolsky Variation is slightly favors black with a 41.3% (90% CI: 34.8%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.