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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense

5.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.5%Range (90% confident): 57.4% – 59.6%Based on 5.6K games
0%58.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.4% – 59.6%
Outcome Distribution
57.1%2.7%40.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bf8
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense
Analyzen=5.6K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 58.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.4% and 59.6%), based on 5.6K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.5% · Breakpoint: 2200-2499

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.6% win rate (40 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.4% win rate (112 games)
  • 1200-1399: 56.4% win rate (340 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.6% win rate (743 games)
  • 1600-1799: 58.1% win rate (1,278 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.6% win rate (1,729 games)
  • 2000-2199: 58.1% win rate (1,017 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.3% win rate (288 games)
  • 2500+: 48.7% win rate (18 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (58%), worst in Classical (53%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 57.4% win rate (1,656 games)
  • Blitz: 56.8% win rate (3,163 games)
  • Rapid: 57.7% win rate (722 games)
  • Classical: 52.9% win rate (24 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 62.1% expected score (65 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (162 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (141 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (270 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (413 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 65.1% expected score (55 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 63.3% expected score (375 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (765 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (326 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (1,195 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (203 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (273 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (495 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.1% expected score (247 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (154 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (101 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (33 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.0%-58.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 58.1% win rate for white (1.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (57.4%) outperforms Rapid (57.7%) by -0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 60.4% (90% CI: 52.7%-67.8%) win rate for white, based on 112 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 56.4% (90% CI: 51.9%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 340 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 56.6% (90% CI: 53.6%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 743 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 58.1% (90% CI: 55.8%-60.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 56.6% (90% CI: 54.6%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 58.1% (90% CI: 55.5%-60.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 52.3% (90% CI: 47.5%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 288 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 57.4% (90% CI: 55.4%-59.4%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.3%-58.2%) win rate for white (3.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense has a 57.7% (90% CI: 54.7%-60.7%) win rate for white (722 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Mayet Defense is statistically favors white with a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.0%-58.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.