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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit

2.5K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score54.5%Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 56.2%Based on 2.5K games
0%54.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.9% – 56.2%
Outcome Distribution
52.1%4.8%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...b5
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit
Analyzen=2.5K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.8%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 54.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 52.9% and 56.2%), based on 2.5K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +10.9% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 23% → 51%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 23.1% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.9% win rate (25 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (157 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.1% win rate (423 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.1% win rate (956 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.0% win rate (846 games)
  • 2500+: 51.2% win rate (101 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (53%), worst in Classical (41%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.4% win rate (720 games)
  • Blitz: 53.2% win rate (1,594 games)
  • Rapid: 46.1% win rate (197 games)
  • Classical: 41.2% win rate (7 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (83 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (64 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (109 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (272 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (173 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (686 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (92 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (263 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (538 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (75 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.2% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 43.1% (90% CI: 41.5%-44.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 48.3% win rate for white (157 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.6%) outperforms Blitz (42.0%) by 2.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a sharpness score of 95.2 (very decisive), meaning 95.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 41.8%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 157 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 41.3% (90% CI: 37.4%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 423 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 43.0% (90% CI: 40.4%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 956 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 42.3% (90% CI: 39.5%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 846 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 37.4%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 41.5%-47.6%) win rate for white (720 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 42.0% (90% CI: 39.9%-44.0%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 40.8%-52.4%) win rate for white (197 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Leonhardt Countergambit is slightly favors black with a 43.1% (90% CI: 41.5%-44.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.