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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation

5.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.1%Range (90% confident): 43.0% – 45.2%Based on 5.8K games
0%44.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.0% – 45.2%
Outcome Distribution
42.8%2.6%54.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nf6
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation
Analyzen=5.8K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.6%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 44.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.0% and 45.2%), based on 5.8K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 26% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 25.6% win rate (102 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.2% win rate (145 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.1% win rate (255 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (498 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.0% win rate (841 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.5% win rate (1,534 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.4% win rate (1,545 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.0% win rate (830 games)
  • 2500+: 44.5% win rate (94 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (46%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (1,929 games)
  • Blitz: 42.1% win rate (3,024 games)
  • Rapid: 38.8% win rate (845 games)
  • Classical: 39.3% win rate (43 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 29.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 27.6% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 32.4% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (39 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 28.1% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 39.4% expected score (135 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (158 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (235 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (95 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (232 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (479 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.8% expected score (124 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (406 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (905 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (208 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (473 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (855 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (210 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (462 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.7% expected score (312 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 28.8% expected score (55 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (76 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 67.1% win rate for white (102 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (58.3%) outperforms Bullet (52.7%) by 5.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 67.1% (90% CI: 59.4%-74.5%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 59.7% (90% CI: 53.0%-66.3%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 50.0%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 255 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 46.3%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 498 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 51.8%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 841 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-55.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 52.5%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 53.6%-59.3%) win rate for white, based on 830 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 50.8%-54.6%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 53.3%-56.2%) win rate for white (3.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation has a 58.3% (90% CI: 55.5%-61.1%) win rate for white (845 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Laroche Variation is statistically favors white with a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.5%-55.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.