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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit

3.4K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

51.2%

45%60%
Floor49.7%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.6%.

Measured over 3.4K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 3.4K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
3.4K
Best context
54.1% at 2000-2199 Blitz
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
96.2%
Draws
3.8%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +6.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 50.7% at 0-999, 43.7% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (37 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 36.4% expected score (39 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.7% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 28.8% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (59 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (91 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (88 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 35.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (169 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (247 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 27.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (239 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (389 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.0% expected score (79 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (233 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (722 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (215 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (215 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 67.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit scores 51.2% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.7% and 52.6% — from 3.4K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
3.4K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate?

Playing the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit, Black wins 49.2%, draws 3.8% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 3.4K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit performs best for Black at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 54.8% (731 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 51.5% in Blitz (1.8K games) against 49.2% in Rapid (462 games).

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 30.1%, draws 5.7% and loses 64.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 33.0%. It rests on 113 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 43.9%, draws 1.0% and loses 55.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 143 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 46.0%, draws 3.5% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 215 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 45.8%, draws 3.2% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 486 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 53.4%, draws 2.7% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 731 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 51.8%, draws 4.0% and loses 44.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 48.6%, draws 6.2% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 477 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 50.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 49.2%, draws 4.5% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 47.4%, draws 3.6% and loses 49.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 462 Lichess games.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Hein Countergambit is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 49.2% of its games and loses 46.9%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.