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Analyzer

Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack

122 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score54.9%Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 62.2%Based on 122 games
0%54.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.5% – 62.2%
Outcome Distribution
53.8%2.0%44.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Qa4
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack
Analyzen=122
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.0%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack has a 54.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.5% and 62.2%), based on 122 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 43%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 77.8% win rate (3 games)
  • 1400-1599: 63.0% win rate (12 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.7% win rate (25 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.5% win rate (29 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.1% win rate (34 games)
  • 2200-2499: 39.4% win rate (15 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in Bullet (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 46.8% win rate (38 games)
  • Blitz: 57.0% win rate (66 games)
  • Rapid: 51.4% win rate (17 games)
  • Classical: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199————
1200-1399———
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999——
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 30.7% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack has a 53.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-61.2%) win rate for white, based on 122 rated games from Lichess.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack has a sharpness score of 98.0 (very decisive), meaning 98.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Fraser Attack is slightly favors black with a 53.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-61.2%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.