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Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation

1.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score39.3%Range (90% confident): 36.8% – 41.8%Based on 1.0K games
0%39.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 36.8% – 41.8%
Outcome Distribution
37.2%4.0%58.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nh6
Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation
Analyzen=1.0K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 39.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 36.8% and 41.8%), based on 1.0K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -26.4% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 33% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 35.8% win rate (25 games)
  • 1200-1399: 34.1% win rate (41 games)
  • 1400-1599: 38.9% win rate (113 games)
  • 1600-1799: 36.3% win rate (212 games)
  • 1800-1999: 39.2% win rate (301 games)
  • 2000-2199: 36.1% win rate (227 games)
  • 2200-2499: 34.5% win rate (81 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (52%), worst in Rapid (36%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 37.0% win rate (162 games)
  • Blitz: 37.5% win rate (647 games)
  • Rapid: 35.5% win rate (186 games)
  • Classical: 52.4% win rate (9 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 36.0% expected score (27 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 35.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (30 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 38.6% expected score (130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 35.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 31.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (207 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (46 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (143 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (37 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 37.6% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 37.2% (90% CI: 34.8%-39.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 39.2% win rate for white (301 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (37.5%) outperforms Rapid (35.5%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 38.9% (90% CI: 31.5%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 36.3% (90% CI: 31.0%-41.8%) win rate for white, based on 212 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 39.2% (90% CI: 34.6%-43.8%) win rate for white, based on 301 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 36.1% (90% CI: 31.0%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 227 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 37.0% (90% CI: 30.9%-43.3%) win rate for white (162 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 37.5% (90% CI: 34.4%-40.7%) win rate for white (647 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation has a 35.5% (90% CI: 29.8%-41.3%) win rate for white (186 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit Declined, Lange Variation is slightly favors black with a 37.2% (90% CI: 34.8%-39.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.