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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line

1.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 51.8%Based on 1.7K games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 51.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.3%3.1%48.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
11.Ba3
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line
Analyzen=1.7K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 49.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 51.8%), based on 1.7K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -7.1% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 29% → 33%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 29.4% win rate (7 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.8% win rate (14 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.5% win rate (47 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.5% win rate (158 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.6% win rate (471 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (692 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.5% win rate (267 games)
  • 2500+: 33.3% win rate (18 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (53%), worst in Classical (47%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 47.0% win rate (404 games)
  • Blitz: 48.2% win rate (1,141 games)
  • Rapid: 52.6% win rate (123 games)
  • Classical: 46.7% win rate (6 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 24.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 73.5% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.9% expected score (58 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (89 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 82.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (100 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (342 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (124 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (506 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (58 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (82 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (160 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 76.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 15.2% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 48.6% win rate for white (471 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (48.2%) outperforms Bullet (47.0%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 50.5% (90% CI: 44.0%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 158 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 48.6% (90% CI: 44.8%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 471 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 47.9% (90% CI: 44.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 692 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 47.5% (90% CI: 42.5%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 267 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.9%-51.1%) win rate for white (404 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 48.2% (90% CI: 45.8%-50.6%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line has a 52.6% (90% CI: 45.3%-59.9%) win rate for white (123 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Compromised Defense, Main Line is slightly favors black with a 48.3% (90% CI: 46.2%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.