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Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense

59K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.5%Range (90% confident): 46.2% – 46.9%Based on 59K games
0%46.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.2% – 46.9%
Outcome Distribution
45.3%2.4%52.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...exd4
Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense
Analyzen=59K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate2.4%

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 46.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 46.2% and 46.9%), based on 59K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -3.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.5% win rate (229 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.0% win rate (917 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.0% win rate (2,840 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.7% win rate (6,953 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.3% win rate (12,211 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.7% win rate (17,357 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.9% win rate (12,937 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.9% win rate (4,899 games)
  • 2500+: 46.2% win rate (378 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (47%), worst in UltraBullet (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 45.7% win rate (18,380 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (31,798 games)
  • Rapid: 45.8% win rate (8,178 games)
  • Classical: 47.2% win rate (360 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (117 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (64 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (465 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (326 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (124 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,225 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (1,255 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (344 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 27.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (2,510 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (3,468 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (948 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (3,619 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (6,791 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,690 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.6% expected score (109 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (4,556 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (10,252 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (2,389 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.2% expected score (160 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (3,436 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (7,371 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (2,087 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (2,157 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (2,198 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (539 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (295 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.8% expected score (73 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 45.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 59K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense perform best?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 49.0% win rate for white (2.8K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (45.7%) outperforms Classical (47.2%) by -1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a sharpness score of 97.6 (very decisive), meaning 97.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 50.5% (90% CI: 45.1%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 229 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 0.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 48.0% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 917 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 44.7% (90% CI: 44.1%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.2%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.8%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 46.2% (90% CI: 42.1%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 378 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 45.7% (90% CI: 45.1%-46.3%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 44.9% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.4%) win rate for white (32K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.7%) win rate for white (8.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense has a 47.2% (90% CI: 42.9%-51.5%) win rate for white (360 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

Is the Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense a good opening?

The Italian Game: Evans Gambit, Anderssen Defense is slightly favors black with a 45.3% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.