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Analyzer

Italian Game: Deutz Gambit

204K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.8%Range (90% confident): 55.6% – 56.0%Based on 204K games
0%55.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.6% – 56.0%
Outcome Distribution
53.8%4.0%42.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.d4
Italian Game: Deutz Gambit
Analyzen=204K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 55.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.6% and 56.0%), based on 204K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +14.5% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 53% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.6% win rate (4,063 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.0% win rate (5,561 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.4% win rate (11,013 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.2% win rate (20,964 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.0% win rate (37,540 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.2% win rate (55,134 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.6% win rate (44,007 games)
  • 2200-2499: 54.5% win rate (20,959 games)
  • 2500+: 54.9% win rate (4,409 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (56%), worst in Rapid (52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.4% win rate (283 games)
  • Bullet: 55.5% win rate (58,425 games)
  • Blitz: 53.5% win rate (104,976 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (37,931 games)
  • Classical: 52.9% win rate (2,035 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,019 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (1,333 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (1,671 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.4% expected score (36 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (2,015 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (2,086 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (1,372 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (52 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 64.5% expected score (64 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (3,882 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (4,758 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (2,224 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 62.7% expected score (85 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.7% expected score (97 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (6,654 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (9,872 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (4,063 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.2% expected score (278 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.8% expected score (39 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (9,312 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (19,859 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (7,706 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (624 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (11,513 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (31,711 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (11,262 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (626 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (10,679 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (25,252 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (7,753 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.1% expected score (318 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (10,157 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (8,936 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (1,834 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 61.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (3,194 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (1,169 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (46 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Deutz Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate?

The Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 204K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Deutz Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (21K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (55.4%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit?

The Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 51.3%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 52.9%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 53.6%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.7%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 21K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 54.9% (90% CI: 53.6%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-60.2%) win rate for white (283 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.8%) win rate for white (58K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.2%-53.7%) win rate for white (105K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.3%) win rate for white (38K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.1%-54.7%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the Italian Game: Deutz Gambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Deutz Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.