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Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation

668K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.6%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 50.7%Based on 668K games
0%50.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 50.7%
Outcome Distribution
48.8%3.5%47.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bb6
Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation
Analyzen=668K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 50.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 50.7%), based on 668K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.8% win rate (8,637 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.6% win rate (31,922 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.4% win rate (71,587 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.1% win rate (121,050 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (162,082 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.2% win rate (162,216 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.7% win rate (83,406 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.0% win rate (24,250 games)
  • 2500+: 45.5% win rate (2,584 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (50%), worst in Classical (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.5% win rate (48 games)
  • Bullet: 49.7% win rate (179,004 games)
  • Blitz: 48.9% win rate (375,002 games)
  • Rapid: 47.3% win rate (110,731 games)
  • Classical: 46.1% win rate (2,949 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (3,667 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (3,896 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (1,070 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (11,377 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (16,108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (4,408 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 33.7% expected score (26 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (21,155 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (38,535 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (11,694 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (196 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (30,096 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (67,818 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (22,557 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (566 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 76.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (35,257 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (95,871 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (30,033 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.5% expected score (911 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (34,381 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (99,035 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (27,760 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (1,028 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (26,228 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (45,591 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (11,391 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (195 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (14,504 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (7,920 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (1,801 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (2,339 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (228 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Paris Defense
50.2%
Italian Game: Giuoco Piano
47.0%
Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening
50.6%
Italian Game: Giuoco Pianissimo, Normal
49.3%
Analyze Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 668K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.2% win rate for white (24K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (48.4%) outperforms Classical (47.7%) by 0.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 121K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 162K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 162K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.0%) win rate for white (179K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 47.2%-47.5%) win rate for white (375K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.1%-48.6%) win rate for white (111K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.2%-49.3%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, La Bourdonnais Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.