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Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line

989K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.3%Range (90% confident): 54.2% – 54.4%Based on 989K games
0%54.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.2% – 54.4%
Outcome Distribution
52.2%4.1%43.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.cxd4
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line
Analyzen=989K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 54.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.2% and 54.4%), based on 989K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +10.2% · Breakpoint: Never

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 91.4 · Trap factor: +10.1 · n=989K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.5% win rate (53,128 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.8% win rate (119,024 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.2% win rate (185,231 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.7% win rate (221,666 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.7% win rate (192,852 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.8% win rate (131,777 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.2% win rate (59,322 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.9% win rate (21,599 games)
  • 2500+: 49.0% win rate (4,253 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (55%), worst in Classical (51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 55.3% win rate (269 games)
  • Bullet: 53.2% win rate (256,431 games)
  • Blitz: 51.9% win rate (463,767 games)
  • Rapid: 51.9% win rate (256,393 games)
  • Classical: 51.1% win rate (11,992 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 65.1% expected score (25 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (14,425 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (21,868 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (16,697 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (113 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (33,075 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (52,342 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (32,900 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.3% expected score (646 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 62.6% expected score (78 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (45,708 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (87,289 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (50,353 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (1,803 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (75 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (50,845 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (107,123 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 54.4% expected score (60,166 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (3,457 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 39.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (44,294 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (94,199 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (50,713 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.6% expected score (3,623 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (33,847 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (64,580 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (31,512 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (1,834 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (20,623 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (26,602 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 55.0% expected score (11,662 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (432 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (10,856 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (8,361 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (2,302 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (80 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (2,758 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (1,403 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (88 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 989K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line perform best?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.8% win rate for white (119K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.2%) outperforms UltraBullet (55.3%) by -2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 52.5% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 53K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 53.8% (90% CI: 53.5%-54.0%) win rate for white, based on 119K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 53.2% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 185K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 222K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 193K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 132K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 59K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 11.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 55.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-60.2%) win rate for white (269 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.6%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 53.2% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.4%) win rate for white (256K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.0%) win rate for white (464K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.1%) win rate for white (256K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.8%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line a good opening?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Greco Gambit, Traditional Line is statistically favors white with a 52.2% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.