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Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation

3.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.3%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 56.7%Based on 3.1K games
0%55.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 56.7%
Outcome Distribution
53.7%3.2%43.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.Kg3
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation
Analyzen=3.1K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 55.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 56.7%), based on 3.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 96.3 · Trap factor: -19.8 · n=3.1K

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~65%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 65.1% win rate (30 games)
  • 1000-1199: 61.0% win rate (101 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.9% win rate (206 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.0% win rate (385 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.0% win rate (721 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.5% win rate (790 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.9% win rate (550 games)
  • 2200-2499: 60.9% win rate (313 games)
  • 2500+: 63.4% win rate (45 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (55%), worst in Classical (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 55.0% win rate (743 games)
  • Blitz: 53.5% win rate (1,549 games)
  • Rapid: 53.4% win rate (791 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (58 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 72.5% expected score (23 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 71.7% expected score (40 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (35 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (107 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (59 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (179 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (139 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (134 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (396 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (164 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (156 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (404 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (213 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (116 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (270 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.9% expected score (157 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 61.7% expected score (148 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 60.0% expected score (134 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 74.6% expected score (31 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.4% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 68.6% expected score (20 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation perform best?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 60.9% win rate for white (313 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (55.0%) outperforms Classical (42.9%) by 12.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 61.0% (90% CI: 53.0%-68.7%) win rate for white, based on 101 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 43.2%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 206 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 43.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 385 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 48.9%-55.0%) win rate for white, based on 721 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 49.6%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 790 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 52.5%-59.4%) win rate for white, based on 550 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 60.9% (90% CI: 56.3%-65.4%) win rate for white, based on 313 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 55.0% (90% CI: 52.0%-58.0%) win rate for white (743 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 51.4%-55.6%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.5%-56.3%) win rate for white (791 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation a good opening?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Ghulam-Kassim Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-55.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.