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Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit

1.3M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score53.9%Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.0%Based on 1.3M games
0%53.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.8% – 54.0%
Outcome Distribution
52.3%3.2%44.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.c3
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit
Analyzen=1.3M
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 53.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.8% and 54.0%), based on 1.3M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +8.3% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.4% win rate (30,762 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.7% win rate (78,092 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.7% win rate (152,814 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.9% win rate (241,775 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.8% win rate (307,514 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (274,773 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.9% win rate (126,770 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.2% win rate (34,108 games)
  • 2500+: 49.0% win rate (3,413 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.8% win rate (325 games)
  • Bullet: 53.5% win rate (358,813 games)
  • Blitz: 52.0% win rate (668,852 games)
  • Rapid: 51.3% win rate (215,486 games)
  • Classical: 49.9% win rate (6,545 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.9% expected score (43 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (10,644 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (11,867 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (8,141 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 58.8% expected score (67 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (72 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (30,141 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (33,825 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (13,789 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 49.3% expected score (265 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 47.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (51,111 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (77,372 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (23,606 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (642 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 56.3% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (70,526 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (129,680 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (39,905 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (1,578 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (75,167 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (177,262 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (52,894 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (2,167 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (62,001 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (156,975 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (54,283 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (1,505 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (37,508 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (68,858 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (20,103 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (294 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (18,718 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (12,627 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (2,735 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.1% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (2,997 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (386 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (30 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
44.3%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Analyze Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.3M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 52.9% win rate for white (242K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.5%) outperforms Classical (49.9%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 78K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 153K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 242K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 308K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 275K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 127K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 49.2%-58.3%) win rate for white (325 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 53.3%-53.6%) win rate for white (359K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.1%) win rate for white (669K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate for white (215K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.9%) win rate for white (6.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit is statistically favors white with a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.