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Analyzer

Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit

392 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score46.3%Range (90% confident): 42.2% – 50.5%Based on 392 games
0%46.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.2% – 50.5%
Outcome Distribution
44.3%3.9%51.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit
n=392
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit has a 46.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.2% and 50.5%), based on 392 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 48.9% win rate (22 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.6% win rate (53 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.2% win rate (83 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.7% win rate (117 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.4% win rate (71 games)
  • 1800-1999: 32.4% win rate (34 games)
  • 2000-2199: 71.4% win rate (9 games)
  • 2200-2499: 55.6% win rate (3 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (45%), worst in Classical (27%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 43.8% win rate (59 games)
  • Blitz: 45.2% win rate (192 games)
  • Rapid: 43.7% win rate (137 games)
  • Classical: 27.3% win rate (4 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 26.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 34.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.0% expected score (38 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (19 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (61 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (37 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.5% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 37.3% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Italian Game
55.0%
Variations (5)
Italian Game: Anti-Fried Liver Defense
51.3%
Italian Game: Bird's Attack
47.2%
Italian Game: Blackburne-Kostić Gambit
46.9%
Italian Game: Classical Variation
51.6%
Italian Game: Classical Variation, Albin Gambit
52.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit win rate?

The Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 40.2%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 392 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit perform best?

The Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 47.7% win rate for white (117 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (45.2%) outperforms Bullet (43.8%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit?

The Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit has a 47.7% (90% CI: 40.2%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 117 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit has a 45.2% (90% CI: 39.4%-51.1%) win rate for white (192 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit has a 43.7% (90% CI: 36.8%-50.6%) win rate for white (137 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit a good opening?

The Italian Game: Blackburne-Kosti�� Gambit is slightly favors black with a 44.3% (90% CI: 40.2%-48.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.